Weekly recap — 2026-10-02
Market in a correction; 59% of the watch list is above its 200-day line
Conditions moved from an uptrend under pressure to a correction. The S&P 500 fell 0.3% and the Nasdaq rose 0.5% and the Dow Jones fell 1.3% over the week. Heavy-volume down days in the tracked window rose from 5 to 6. Of the 27 stocks with enough history, 44% closed the week above their 50-day average and 59% above their 200-day average. Last week those figures were 48% and 67%. Technology: median money-flow reading +0.02 across 15 stocks, and on-balance volume rising. 1 pattern event landed on the watch list during the week. This is a description of what happened, not a suggestion about what to do.
Market
Conditions moved from an uptrend under pressure to a correction. The S&P 500 fell 0.3% and the Nasdaq rose 0.5% and the Dow Jones fell 1.3% over the week. Heavy-volume down days in the tracked window rose from 5 to 6.
Economic calendar
Released this week: Economic growth (GDP), Inflation (PCE) and Jobs report.
Economic growth (GDP): The economy grew at a 2.2% annual rate in the second quarter.
Inflation (PCE): Prices on the Fed’s preferred measure were 3.4% higher than a year earlier — the same pace as in July.
Jobs report: 29,000 jobs added in September; unemployment rose to 4.2%.
Pattern events
1 stock had a pattern take shape or change state.
- AAPL: a cup with handle started taking shape on Sep 28.
Breadth
Of the 27 stocks with enough history, 44% closed the week above their 50-day average and 59% above their 200-day average. Last week those figures were 48% and 67%.
Sector flow
Median money-flow readings across the week for 3 sectors. 3 sectors with fewer than 3 tracked stocks aren't compared.
Valuation changes
Sector median valuations from the weekend data refresh, 11 sectors compared.
Earnings summary
1 stock on the watch list reported this week: 1 beat and 0 missed the consensus EPS estimate. Too few reports to give a median reaction honestly; each report is listed below with its own numbers.
- MU reported on Sep 30: EPS came in above consensus (+5.2%).
Rates context
Where near-riskless yields ended the week — the baseline that riskier returns are measured against, shown for context only.
3-month Treasury bill stood at 4.17%, down 0.07 percentage points on the week.
1-year Treasury stood at 4.44%, down 0.07 percentage points on the week.
10-year Treasury stood at 5.24%, up 0.06 percentage points on the week.
12-month CD, national average stood at 1.73%, up 0.02 percentage points versus the prior monthly reading.
Stocks in this recap
Previous: Weekly recap — 2026-09-25
每周回顾
市场处于回调之中；关注列表中 59% 位于 200 日均线上方
市场状态从承压的上升趋势转为回调。本周，标普 500下跌 0.3%，纳斯达克上涨 0.5%，道琼斯下跌 1.3%。统计窗口内的放量下跌日从 5 个增加到 6 个。在 27 只历史数据足够的股票中，44% 以高于 50 日均线的价格收周，59% 高于 200 日均线。上周这两个数字分别是 48% 和 67%。科技：15 只股票的资金流读数中位数为 +0.02，能量潮（OBV）走高。本周关注列表上共出现 1 次形态相关的变化。以上描述的是已经发生的事，并非对该做什么的建议。
市场状态从承压的上升趋势转为回调。本周，标普 500下跌 0.3%，纳斯达克上涨 0.5%，道琼斯下跌 1.3%。统计窗口内的放量下跌日从 5 个增加到 6 个。
经济日历
本周发布：经济增长（GDP）、通胀（PCE）、就业报告。
经济增长（GDP）: 第二季度经济按年化计算增长 2.2%。
通胀（PCE）: 按美联储偏好的指标，物价较一年前上升 3.4%，与7月持平。
就业报告: 9月新增 29,000 个就业岗位；失业率升至 4.2%。
形态事件
1 只股票有形态开始形成或状态发生变化。
- AAPL：它的杯柄形态在9月28日开始形成。
市场广度
在 27 只历史数据足够的股票中，44% 以高于 50 日均线的价格收周，59% 高于 200 日均线。上周这两个数字分别是 48% 和 67%。
行业资金流
本周 3 个行业的资金流读数中位数。另有 3 个行业追踪的股票不足 3 只，未纳入比较。
估值变化
来自周末数据更新的行业估值中位数，共比较了 11 个行业。
财报小结
本周关注列表上有 1 只股票公布业绩：1 只高于、0 只低于市场一致预期的每股收益。样本太少，无法诚实地给出反应的中位数；下方逐条列出每份财报及其数据。
- MU 于9月30日公布业绩：每股收益高于一致预期（+5.2%）。
利率背景
接近无风险的收益率在本周的落点——它是衡量更高风险回报的参照基准，仅作背景说明。
3 个月期美国国债报 4.17%，较上周下降 0.07 个百分点。
1 年期美国国债报 4.44%，较上周下降 0.07 个百分点。
10 年期美国国债报 5.24%，较上周上升 0.06 个百分点。
12 个月定期存单，全国平均报 1.73%，较上月读数上升 0.02 个百分点。
UnderTheLight 用直白的语言解释股票——估值、价格区间与资金流向。它只描述数据，不构成任何投资建议。
UnderTheLight explains stocks in plain English — valuation, price zones and money flow as traffic lights, recomputed nightly. It describes data; it is not investment advice and never recommends a trade.