Weekly recap — 2026-10-30

Uptrend under pressure; 44% of the watch list is above its 200-day line

The market stayed in an uptrend under pressure. The S&P 500 fell 0.6% and the Nasdaq fell 2.0% and the Dow Jones fell 0.8% over the week. Heavy-volume down days in the tracked window rose from 7 to 8. Of the 27 stocks with enough history, 26% closed the week above their 50-day average and 44% above their 200-day average. Last week those figures were 37% and 67%. Financial Services: median money-flow reading +0.01 across 5 stocks, and on-balance volume rising. This is a description of what happened, not a suggestion about what to do.

Market

Economic calendar

Released this week: Fed rate decision, Economic growth (GDP) and Inflation (PCE). 1 scheduled release next week.

Fed rate decision: Held its target range at 3.75–4.00%.

Economic growth (GDP): The economy grew at a 3.4% annual rate in the third quarter.

Inflation (PCE): Prices on the Fed’s preferred measure were 3.6% higher than a year earlier — up from 3.4% in August.

Jobs report: Jobs report, October figures: Friday, Nov 6, 08:30 ET.

Breadth

Of the 27 stocks with enough history, 26% closed the week above their 50-day average and 44% above their 200-day average. Last week those figures were 37% and 67%.

Sector flow

Median money-flow readings across the week for 3 sectors. 3 sectors with fewer than 3 tracked stocks aren't compared.

Valuation changes

Sector median valuations from the weekend data refresh, 11 sectors compared.

Earnings summary

6 stocks on the watch list reported this week: 4 beat and 2 missed the consensus EPS estimate. The median next-session move after a report was -12.3%.

GOOG reported on Oct 28: EPS came in below consensus (-29.6%).
INTC reported on Oct 29: EPS came in above consensus (+27.9%).
CVX reported on Oct 30: EPS came in above consensus (+8.4%).
SNDK reported on Oct 29: EPS came in above consensus (+6.1%).
AMZN reported on Oct 29: EPS came in below consensus (-4.1%).
MSFT reported on Oct 28: EPS came in above consensus (+3.6%).

Rates context

Where near-riskless yields ended the week — the baseline that riskier returns are measured against, shown for context only.

3-month Treasury bill stood at 4.18%, down 0.04 percentage points on the week.

1-year Treasury stood at 4.42%, up 0.01 percentage points on the week.

10-year Treasury stood at 4.98%, up 0.02 percentage points on the week.

12-month CD, national average stood at 1.76%, up 0.03 percentage points versus the prior monthly reading.

Previous: Weekly recap — 2026-10-23

每周回顾

上升趋势承压；关注列表中 44% 位于 200 日均线上方

市场仍处于承压的上升趋势。本周，标普 500下跌 0.6%，纳斯达克下跌 2.0%，道琼斯下跌 0.8%。统计窗口内的放量下跌日从 7 个增加到 8 个。在 27 只历史数据足够的股票中，26% 以高于 50 日均线的价格收周，44% 高于 200 日均线。上周这两个数字分别是 37% 和 67%。金融服务：5 只股票的资金流读数中位数为 +0.01，能量潮（OBV）走高。以上描述的是已经发生的事，并非对该做什么的建议。

市场仍处于承压的上升趋势。本周，标普 500下跌 0.6%，纳斯达克下跌 2.0%，道琼斯下跌 0.8%。统计窗口内的放量下跌日从 7 个增加到 8 个。

经济日历

本周发布：美联储利率决议、经济增长（GDP）、通胀（PCE）。下周还有 1 项预定发布。

美联储利率决议: 维持目标区间在 3.75–4.00% 不变。

经济增长（GDP）: 第三季度经济按年化计算增长 3.4%。

通胀（PCE）: 按美联储偏好的指标，物价较一年前上升 3.6%，高于8月的 3.4%。

就业报告: 就业报告（10月数据）：11月6日周五，美东时间 08:30。

市场广度

在 27 只历史数据足够的股票中，26% 以高于 50 日均线的价格收周，44% 高于 200 日均线。上周这两个数字分别是 37% 和 67%。

行业资金流

本周 3 个行业的资金流读数中位数。另有 3 个行业追踪的股票不足 3 只，未纳入比较。

估值变化

来自周末数据更新的行业估值中位数，共比较了 11 个行业。

财报小结

本周关注列表上有 6 只股票公布业绩：4 只高于、2 只低于市场一致预期的每股收益。财报公布后下一交易日的中位数变动为 -12.3%。

GOOG 于10月28日公布业绩：每股收益低于一致预期（-29.6%）。
INTC 于10月29日公布业绩：每股收益高于一致预期（+27.9%）。
CVX 于10月30日公布业绩：每股收益高于一致预期（+8.4%）。
SNDK 于10月29日公布业绩：每股收益高于一致预期（+6.1%）。
AMZN 于10月29日公布业绩：每股收益低于一致预期（-4.1%）。
MSFT 于10月28日公布业绩：每股收益高于一致预期（+3.6%）。

利率背景

接近无风险的收益率在本周的落点——它是衡量更高风险回报的参照基准，仅作背景说明。

3 个月期美国国债报 4.18%，较上周下降 0.04 个百分点。

1 年期美国国债报 4.42%，较上周上升 0.01 个百分点。

10 年期美国国债报 4.98%，较上周上升 0.02 个百分点。

12 个月定期存单，全国平均报 1.76%，较上月读数上升 0.03 个百分点。

UnderTheLight 用直白的语言解释股票——估值、价格区间与资金流向。它只描述数据，不构成任何投资建议。

UnderTheLight explains stocks in plain English — valuation, price zones and money flow as traffic lights, recomputed nightly. It describes data; it is not investment advice and never recommends a trade.