Cummins Inc. (CMI)
Industrials · Industrial - Machinery · Data as of 2026-09-01
Bottom line
CMI is trading at a premium to its history, near its historical resistance zone, and recent volume suggests money flowing out. Historically, this combination has called for extra caution. Past patterns are not a guarantee of future results.
Valuation — Trading at a premium (Red)
CMI trades at 29× earnings, above its own 5-year average of 17× and roughly in line with similar industrials companies we track (30×, 73 peers). Investors are currently paying more per dollar of earnings than usual. Its free-cash-flow yield is about 4.3%. Its current multiple sits around the 85th percentile of its own last five years — toward the high end of its own range.
Price zones — Near its historical resistance zone (Red)
At $551.15, the stock is close to the upper end of its recent range. Over the past year CMI has traded between $389.52 and $737.76; its historical support zone sits near $389.52 and resistance near $598.70. It is below both its 50- and 200-day averages, which has historically signalled a downtrend.
52-week range $389.52–$737.76 · 50-day average $642.03 · 200-day average $598.70
Money flow — Money is flowing out (Red)
Recent trading in CMI shows more volume on falling days than rising days, a pattern often described as distribution. Volume on up days has been about 0.5× volume on down days over the last 30 sessions.
About the company
Cummins Inc. is a global innovator in power solutions, responsible for the design, manufacturing, distribution, and maintenance of a broad array of diesel and natural gas engines, alongside cutting-edge electric and hybrid powertrains, and associated components. Its operations are strategically divided into five segments: Engine, Distribution, Components, Power Systems, and New Power.
一句话结论
CMI 相对自身历史处于溢价水平，接近其历史阻力区，近期成交量显示资金正在流出。从历史来看，这样的组合需要格外谨慎。过去的形态并不能保证未来的结果。
估值 — 相对自身历史处于溢价水平
CMI 目前的市盈率为 29×，高于其自身 5 年平均的 17×，并且大致持平于我们追踪的同类Industrials公司（30×，73 家）。投资者目前为每一美元盈利付出的价格高于以往。其自由现金流收益率约为 4.3%。它当前的估值倍数大约位于自身过去五年分布的第 85 百分位——处于自身区间的偏高位置。
价格区间 — 接近其历史阻力区
目前价格为 $551.15，接近其近期区间的上沿。过去一年 CMI 的价格在 $389.52 到 $737.76 之间波动；其历史支撑区在 $389.52 附近，阻力区在 $598.70 附近。它同时位于 50 日和 200 日均线下方，这在历史上通常对应下降趋势。
资金流向 — 资金正在流出
CMI 近期下跌日的成交量高于上涨日，这种形态常被称为派发。过去 30 个交易日，上涨日的成交量约为下跌日的 0.5×。
UnderTheLight 用直白的语言解释股票——估值、价格区间与资金流向。它只描述数据，不构成任何投资建议。
UnderTheLight explains stocks in plain English — valuation, price zones and money flow as traffic lights, recomputed nightly. It describes data; it is not investment advice and never recommends a trade.