International Paper Company (IP)
Basic Materials · Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Data as of 2026-09-01
Bottom line
IP is trading near its usual valuation, near its historical resistance zone, and recent volume suggests money flowing out. Historically, this combination has called for extra caution. Past patterns are not a guarantee of future results.
Valuation — Near its usual sales multiple (Yellow)
IP isn't profitable yet, so we compare its price-to-sales of 0.9× with its own typical level (0.9×) while revenue grows about 34% a year. Its gross margin is modest (28%), so the sales multiple flatters it — per dollar it actually keeps, the price is 4.4× gross profit. Looking ahead, analysts expect revenue to grow about 6% and on next year's expected revenue the company is valued at 1.2× sales. It holds roughly 7 years of cash at its current spending rate. Analysts currently expect it to turn profitable around 2026.
Price zones — Near its historical resistance zone (Red)
At $36.46, the stock is close to the upper end of its recent range. Over the past year IP has traded between $29.26 and $50.25; its historical support zone sits near $29.26 and resistance near $38.39. It is below both its 50- and 200-day averages, which has historically signalled a downtrend.
52-week range $29.26–$50.25 · 50-day average $39.57 · 200-day average $38.39
Money flow — Money is flowing out (Red)
Recent trading in IP shows more volume on falling days than rising days, a pattern often described as distribution. Volume on up days has been about 0.8× volume on down days over the last 30 sessions.
About the company
International Paper Company, established in 1898 and headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, functions as a leading global packaging enterprise. Its extensive operational footprint spans the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Pacific Rim, Asia, and various other regions across the Americas. The company's business activities are structured into two principal divisions: Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers.
一句话结论
IP 估值接近其惯常水平，接近其历史阻力区，近期成交量显示资金正在流出。从历史来看，这样的组合需要格外谨慎。过去的形态并不能保证未来的结果。
估值 — 接近其惯常的市销率水平
IP 目前尚未盈利，因此我们把它 0.9× 的市销率与其自身惯常的水平（0.9×）作比较，同期营收年增长约 34%。它的毛利率一般（28%），因此市销率把它衬得比实际好看——按它真正留下的每一美元来算，价格相当于毛利润的 4.4×。往前看，分析师预计营收将增长约 6%，按明年的预期营收计算，公司的估值相当于销售额的 1.2×。按目前的支出速度，其手上的现金约可支撑 7 年。分析师目前预计它将在 2026 年前后转为盈利。
价格区间 — 接近其历史阻力区
目前价格为 $36.46，接近其近期区间的上沿。过去一年 IP 的价格在 $29.26 到 $50.25 之间波动；其历史支撑区在 $29.26 附近，阻力区在 $38.39 附近。它同时位于 50 日和 200 日均线下方，这在历史上通常对应下降趋势。
资金流向 — 资金正在流出
IP 近期下跌日的成交量高于上涨日，这种形态常被称为派发。过去 30 个交易日，上涨日的成交量约为下跌日的 0.8×。
UnderTheLight 用直白的语言解释股票——估值、价格区间与资金流向。它只描述数据，不构成任何投资建议。
UnderTheLight explains stocks in plain English — valuation, price zones and money flow as traffic lights, recomputed nightly. It describes data; it is not investment advice and never recommends a trade.