LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (LYB)
Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialty · Data as of 2026-09-01
Bottom line
LYB is trading near its usual valuation, near its historical support zone, and recent volume shows no clear direction. The picture is mixed, so it may be worth watching rather than acting on. Past patterns are not a guarantee of future results.
Valuation — Cheap-looking, with quality flags (Yellow)
LYB is losing money, so we lean on its balance sheet: price-to-book of 1.9× versus its own typical 2.3×. Day-to-day operations still generate cash (EV/EBITDA 17.0×), so the losses come from costs like interest and depreciation rather than the core business. Despite the accounting losses, it already generates positive free cash flow. Analysts currently expect it to turn profitable around 2026.
Quality check: only 3 of 9 year-over-year fundamentals checks passed last fiscal year. A low multiple alongside deteriorating fundamentals is sometimes a sign of a weakening business rather than a bargain.
Price zones — Near its historical support zone (Green)
At $65.17, the stock is close to the lower end of its recent range. Over the past year LYB has traded between $41.58 and $83.94; its historical support zone sits near $60.19 and resistance near $83.94. It is above both its 50- and 200-day averages, which has historically signalled an uptrend.
52-week range $41.58–$83.94 · 50-day average $60.14 · 200-day average $60.19
Money flow — No clear direction (Yellow)
Buying and selling volume in LYB have been fairly balanced recently, with no strong accumulation or distribution pattern. Volume on up days has been about 1.2× volume on down days over the last 30 sessions.
About the company
LyondellBasell Industries N.V., established in 2009 and based in Houston, Texas, operates as a prominent global chemical manufacturer with a significant international footprint, including the United States, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Poland, France, Japan, China, and the Netherlands. The company's diverse operations are organized into six distinct segments. Its core business involves the production and marketing of olefins and various polyolefins, such as high, low, and linear low-density polyethylene, along with polypropylene homopolymers and copolymers, for markets spanning the Americas,…
一句话结论
LYB 估值接近其惯常水平,接近其历史支撑区,近期成交量没有明确方向。整体情况好坏参半,也许更适合先观察,而不是急于行动。过去的形态并不能保证未来的结果。
估值 — 看似便宜,但有质量警示
LYB 目前处于亏损,因此我们更多地看资产负债表:市净率为 1.9×,而它自身惯常的水平是 2.3×。日常经营仍在产生现金(EV/EBITDA 为 17.0×),因此亏损来自利息、折旧这类成本,而非核心业务本身。尽管账面上是亏损,它已经能产生正的自由现金流。分析师目前预计它将在 2026 年前后转为盈利。
质量核对:上一财年 9 项逐年基本面核对中只通过了 3 项。低估值伴随基本面走弱,有时反映的是业务在恶化,而不是便宜。
价格区间 — 接近其历史支撑区
目前价格为 $65.17,接近其近期区间的下沿。过去一年 LYB 的价格在 $41.58 到 $83.94 之间波动;其历史支撑区在 $60.19 附近,阻力区在 $83.94 附近。它同时位于 50 日和 200 日均线上方,这在历史上通常对应上升趋势。
资金流向 — 方向不明确
LYB 近期的买卖成交量大致均衡,没有明显的吸筹或派发形态。过去 30 个交易日,上涨日的成交量约为下跌日的 1.2×。
UnderTheLight 用直白的语言解释股票——估值、价格区间与资金流向。它只描述数据,不构成任何投资建议。
UnderTheLight explains stocks in plain English — valuation, price zones and money flow as traffic lights, recomputed nightly. It describes data; it is not investment advice and never recommends a trade.