Smurfit Westrock plc (SW)
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers · Data as of 2026-10-22
Bottom line
SW is trading near its usual valuation, near its historical resistance zone, and recent volume suggests money flowing out. Historically, this combination has called for extra caution. Past patterns are not a guarantee of future results.
Valuation — Priced about in line with its growth (Yellow)
For a fast-growing company like SW (revenue is growing about 53% a year), we weigh next year's expected P/E of 20× against the 66% earnings growth analysts expect, counting at most 30% a year because growth that fast rarely lasts (a forward PEG of 0.66, 6 estimates). That alone would read as cheap, but against its own last five years the multiple is high, so we call the price about in line with the growth. Its current multiple sits around the 70th percentile of its own last five years — toward the high end of its own range.
Price zones — Near its historical resistance zone (Red)
At $42.43, the stock is close to the upper end of its recent range. Over the past year SW has traded between $32.73 and $52.65; its historical support zone sits near $32.73 and resistance near $43.45. It is below both its 50- and 200-day averages, which has historically signalled a downtrend.
52-week range $32.73–$52.65 · 50-day average $44.76 · 200-day average $43.45
Money flow — Money is flowing out (Red)
Recent trading in SW shows more volume on falling days than rising days, a pattern often described as distribution. Volume on up days has been about 0.8× volume on down days over the last 30 sessions.
Dividends & company facts
SW paid $1.79 a share in dividends over the past year — 4.2% of today's price — and raised it 4 times in the last five years.
- Dividend yield (12 months)
- 4.21%
- Paid over 12 months
- $1.79 a share
- Payout ratio
- 189.2%
- Shares, past year
- +0.3%
- Revenue, 12 months
- $30.3B
- Profit, 12 months
- $487M
- Employees
- 97,000
- CEO
- Anthony Paul J. Smurfit
- Headquarters
- Dublin, DU
- Listed since
- 2008 · NYSE
About the company
Smurfit Westrock Plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells containerboard, corrugated containers, and other paper-based packaging products in North America, South America, Europe, Asia, Africa, Australia, and internationally. The company produces containerboard and paperboard; packaging of corrugated containers; consumer packaging; and offers solid board, kraft paper, and graphic board, as well as other packaging products, such as solidboard packaging, paper sacks and bag-in-box. It produces linerboard and corrugated medium and paperboard; and other…
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一句话结论
SW 估值接近其惯常水平，接近其历史阻力区，近期成交量显示资金正在流出。从历史来看，这样的组合需要格外谨慎。过去的形态并不能保证未来的结果。
估值 — 价格与其增长大致相称
对 SW 这样的高增长公司（营收年增长约 53%），我们把它明年的预期市盈率 20× 与分析师预计的 66% 盈利增速放在一起看，但增速最多按每年 30% 计算，因为这么快的增长很少能持续（前瞻 PEG 为 0.66，来自 6 份预测）。单看这一点会显得便宜，但与它自身过去五年相比，估值倍数偏高，所以我们认为价格与增长大致相称。它当前的估值倍数大约位于自身过去五年分布的第 70 百分位——处于自身区间的偏高位置。
价格区间 — 接近其历史阻力区
目前价格为 $42.43，接近其近期区间的上沿。过去一年 SW 的价格在 $32.73 到 $52.65 之间波动；其历史支撑区在 $32.73 附近，阻力区在 $43.45 附近。它同时位于 50 日和 200 日均线下方，这在历史上通常对应下降趋势。
资金流向 — 资金正在流出
SW 近期下跌日的成交量高于上涨日，这种形态常被称为派发。过去 30 个交易日，上涨日的成交量约为下跌日的 0.8×。
股息与公司概况
SW 过去一年每股派息 1.79 美元，相当于当前股价的 4.2%，过去五年上调过 4 次。
UnderTheLight 用直白的语言解释股票——估值、价格区间与资金流向。它只描述数据，不构成任何投资建议。
UnderTheLight explains stocks in plain English — valuation, price zones and money flow as traffic lights, recomputed nightly. It describes data; it is not investment advice and never recommends a trade.