Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · Data as of 2026-09-01
Bottom line
TSCO is trading near its usual valuation, near its historical support zone, and recent volume suggests money flowing in. Historically, this combination has been a favourable starting point for further research. Past patterns are not a guarantee of future results.
Valuation — Cheap-looking, with quality flags (Yellow)
TSCO trades at 18× earnings, below its own 5-year average of 24× and roughly in line with similar consumer cyclical companies we track (21×, 50 peers). Historically this has been on the cheaper side for the stock. Its free-cash-flow yield is about 1.7%. Its current multiple sits around the 9th percentile of its own last five years — toward the low end of its own range.
Quality check: only about 30% of reported earnings arrived as free cash over the last year — a gap that often traces to working capital absorbing cash.
Price zones — Near its historical support zone (Green)
At $34.71, the stock is close to the lower end of its recent range. Over the past year TSCO has traded between $28.36 and $62.26; its historical support zone sits near $32.47 and resistance near $42.18. It is above one of its moving averages and below the other — a mixed trend picture.
52-week range $28.36–$62.26 · 50-day average $32.47 · 200-day average $42.18
Money flow — Money is flowing in (Green)
Recent trading in TSCO shows more volume on rising days than falling days, a pattern often described as accumulation. Volume on up days has been about 1.9× volume on down days over the last 30 sessions.
About the company
Tractor Supply Company functions as a prominent retailer, catering to the rural lifestyle demographic throughout the United States. Its extensive product catalog encompasses items crucial for the health, well-being, development, and enclosure of equine, livestock, pets, and small animals. Additionally, it stocks a variety of hardware, truck, towing, and tool supplies.
一句话结论
TSCO 估值接近其惯常水平，接近其历史支撑区，近期成交量显示资金正在流入。从历史来看，这样的组合是一个值得进一步研究的有利起点。过去的形态并不能保证未来的结果。
估值 — 看似便宜，但有质量警示
TSCO 目前的市盈率为 18×，低于其自身 5 年平均的 24×，并且大致持平于我们追踪的同类Consumer Cyclical公司（21×，50 家）。从历史来看，这属于该股较便宜的一侧。其自由现金流收益率约为 1.7%。它当前的估值倍数大约位于自身过去五年分布的第 9 百分位——处于自身区间的偏低位置。
质量核对：过去一年，报告利润中只有约 30% 转化为自由现金——这样的差距常常源于营运资金占用了现金。
价格区间 — 接近其历史支撑区
目前价格为 $34.71，接近其近期区间的下沿。过去一年 TSCO 的价格在 $28.36 到 $62.26 之间波动；其历史支撑区在 $32.47 附近，阻力区在 $42.18 附近。它位于其中一条均线上方、另一条下方——趋势信号并不一致。
资金流向 — 资金正在流入
TSCO 近期上涨日的成交量高于下跌日，这种形态常被称为吸筹。过去 30 个交易日，上涨日的成交量约为下跌日的 1.9×。
UnderTheLight 用直白的语言解释股票——估值、价格区间与资金流向。它只描述数据，不构成任何投资建议。
UnderTheLight explains stocks in plain English — valuation, price zones and money flow as traffic lights, recomputed nightly. It describes data; it is not investment advice and never recommends a trade.