Yum! Brands, Inc. (YUM)
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · Data as of 2026-10-22
Bottom line
YUM is trading near its usual valuation, near its historical support zone, and recent volume suggests money flowing in. Historically, this combination has been a favourable starting point for further research. Past patterns are not a guarantee of future results.
Valuation — Cheap-looking, with quality flags (Yellow)
YUM trades at 19× earnings, below its own 5-year average of 27× and roughly in line with similar consumer cyclical companies we track (19×, 50 peers). Historically this has been on the cheaper side for the stock. Its free-cash-flow yield is about 4.1%. Growth is slower than its 3-year pace, which deserves some caution. Its current multiple sits around the 2nd percentile of its own last five years — toward the low end of its own range. About 77% of its reported earnings arrived as free cash over the last year.
Quality check: revenue growth has slowed to about 9% a year (3-year pace about 6%; analysts expect about 3% next year), while the multiple sits at the low end of its own history. That combination can mean the market is pricing a slower business rather than offering a bargain.
Price zones — Near its historical support zone (Green)
At $154.45, the stock is close to the lower end of its recent range. Over the past year YUM has traded between $134.26 and $170.14; its historical support zone sits near $153.55 and resistance near $170.14. It is above both its 50- and 200-day averages, which has historically signalled an uptrend.
52-week range $134.26–$170.14 · 50-day average $145.71 · 200-day average $153.55
Money flow — Money is flowing in (Green)
Recent trading in YUM shows more volume on rising days than falling days, a pattern often described as accumulation. Volume on up days has been about 1.6× volume on down days over the last 30 sessions.
Dividends & company facts
YUM paid $2.96 a share in dividends over the past year — 1.9% of today's price — and has raised it in each of the last five years. It also bought back shares: $552 million in fiscal 2025, about 1.3% of its market value.
- Dividend yield (12 months)
- 1.92%
- Paid over 12 months
- $2.96 a share
- Payout ratio
- 36.4%
- Buybacks
- 1.34% (fiscal 2025)
- Shares, past year
- -0.7%
- Revenue, 12 months
- $8.7B
- Profit, 12 months
- $2.2B
- Employees
- 49,000
- CEO
- Christopher Lee Turner
- Headquarters
- Louisville, KY
- Listed since
- 1997 · NYSE
About the company
YUM! Brands, Inc. (YUM) is a leading global quick-service restaurant enterprise that focuses on the creation, management, and franchising of its restaurant concepts internationally.
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一句话结论
YUM 估值接近其惯常水平，接近其历史支撑区，近期成交量显示资金正在流入。从历史来看，这样的组合是一个值得进一步研究的有利起点。过去的形态并不能保证未来的结果。
估值 — 看似便宜，但有质量警示
YUM 目前的市盈率为 19×，低于其自身 5 年平均的 27×，并且大致持平于我们追踪的同类Consumer Cyclical公司（19×，50 家）。从历史来看，这属于该股较便宜的一侧。其自由现金流收益率约为 4.1%。增速已慢于其 3 年的平均步伐，这一点值得留意。它当前的估值倍数大约位于自身过去五年分布的第 2 百分位——处于自身区间的偏低位置。过去一年，其报告利润中约有 77% 转化为自由现金。
质量核对：营收增速已放缓至每年约 9%（3 年平均步伐约为 6%；分析师预期明年约为 3%），而估值倍数正处于自身历史的低位。这样的组合可能意味着市场在为一个增长更慢的业务定价，而不是在给出便宜的价格。
价格区间 — 接近其历史支撑区
目前价格为 $154.45，接近其近期区间的下沿。过去一年 YUM 的价格在 $134.26 到 $170.14 之间波动；其历史支撑区在 $153.55 附近，阻力区在 $170.14 附近。它同时位于 50 日和 200 日均线上方，这在历史上通常对应上升趋势。
资金流向 — 资金正在流入
YUM 近期上涨日的成交量高于下跌日，这种形态常被称为吸筹。过去 30 个交易日，上涨日的成交量约为下跌日的 1.6×。
股息与公司概况
YUM 过去一年每股派息 2.96 美元，相当于当前股价的 1.9%，过去五年每年都有上调。它也回购了股票：2025 财年回购 5.5亿美元，约占市值的 1.3%。
UnderTheLight 用直白的语言解释股票——估值、价格区间与资金流向。它只描述数据，不构成任何投资建议。
UnderTheLight explains stocks in plain English — valuation, price zones and money flow as traffic lights, recomputed nightly. It describes data; it is not investment advice and never recommends a trade.