CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs · Data as of 2026-10-22

Bottom line

CF is trading near its usual valuation, in the middle of its recent price range, and recent volume suggests money flowing out. The picture is mixed, so it may be worth watching rather than acting on. Past patterns are not a guarantee of future results.

Valuation — Near its usual asset-based value (Yellow)

CF is in a cyclical industry, where earnings swing with the economy, so we compare its price-to-book of 3.2× with its own typical level (3.0×). Its current multiple sits around the 38th percentile of its own last five years — toward the low end of its own range.

Price zones — In the middle of its recent range (Yellow)

At $118.56, the stock sits between its recent support and resistance levels. Over the past year CF has traded between $75.42 and $141.96; its historical support zone sits near $115.19 and resistance near $123.32. It is above one of its moving averages and below the other — a mixed trend picture.

52-week range $75.42–$141.96 · 50-day average $123.32 · 200-day average $115.19

Money flow — Money is flowing out (Red)

Recent trading in CF shows more volume on falling days than rising days, a pattern often described as distribution. Volume on up days has been about 0.7× volume on down days over the last 30 sessions.

Dividends & company facts

CF paid $2.70 a share in dividends over the past year — 2.3% of today's price — and raised it 3 times in the last five years. It returned more through buybacks: $1.4 billion in fiscal 2025, about 7.7% of its market value.

Dividend yield (12 months)
2.28%
Paid over 12 months
$2.70 a share
Payout ratio
15.0%
Buybacks
7.68% (fiscal 2025)
Shares, past year
-5.6%
Revenue, 12 months
$7.7B
Profit, 12 months
$2.1B
Employees
2,900
CEO
Christopher D. Bohn
Headquarters
Northbrook, IL
Listed since
2005 · NYSE

About the company

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a global producer and distributor of hydrogen and nitrogen-based products. These essential chemicals serve a variety of purposes worldwide, including energy generation, agricultural fertilization, environmental emissions reduction, and numerous other industrial applications.

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一句话结论

CF 估值接近其惯常水平,处于近期价格区间的中部,近期成交量显示资金正在流出。整体情况好坏参半,也许更适合先观察,而不是急于行动。过去的形态并不能保证未来的结果。

估值 — 接近其惯常的资产估值水平

CF 所在的行业具有周期性,盈利会随经济起伏,因此我们把它 3.2× 的市净率与其自身惯常的水平(3.0×)作比较。它当前的估值倍数大约位于自身过去五年分布的第 38 百分位——处于自身区间的偏低位置。

价格区间 — 处于近期区间的中部

目前价格为 $118.56,位于其近期的支撑位与阻力位之间。过去一年 CF 的价格在 $75.42 到 $141.96 之间波动;其历史支撑区在 $115.19 附近,阻力区在 $123.32 附近。它位于其中一条均线上方、另一条下方——趋势信号并不一致。

资金流向 — 资金正在流出

CF 近期下跌日的成交量高于上涨日,这种形态常被称为派发。过去 30 个交易日,上涨日的成交量约为下跌日的 0.7×。

股息与公司概况

CF 过去一年每股派息 2.70 美元,相当于当前股价的 2.3%,过去五年上调过 3 次。它通过回购返还了更多:2025 财年回购 13.8亿美元,约占市值的 7.7%。

UnderTheLight 用直白的语言解释股票——估值、价格区间与资金流向。它只描述数据,不构成任何投资建议。

UnderTheLight explains stocks in plain English — valuation, price zones and money flow as traffic lights, recomputed nightly. It describes data; it is not investment advice and never recommends a trade.

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