The Mosaic Company (MOS)
Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs · Data as of 2026-09-01
Bottom line
MOS is trading at a discount to its history, near its historical support zone, and recent volume suggests money flowing in. Historically, this combination has been a favourable starting point for further research. Past patterns are not a guarantee of future results.
Valuation — Cheap against its own asset value (Green)
MOS is in a cyclical industry, where earnings swing with the economy, so we compare its price-to-book of 0.7× with its own typical level (0.9×). Its current multiple sits around the 98th percentile of its own last five years — near the top of its own range. Its fundamentals scored 8 of 9 on a standard year-over-year quality checklist — most of the underlying trends improved last fiscal year.
Price zones — Near its historical support zone (Green)
At $24.78, the stock is close to the lower end of its recent range. Over the past year MOS has traded between $19.80 and $36.99; its historical support zone sits near $24.51 and resistance near $36.99. It is above both its 50- and 200-day averages, which has historically signalled an uptrend.
52-week range $19.80–$36.99 · 50-day average $22.46 · 200-day average $24.51
Money flow — Money is flowing in (Green)
Recent trading in MOS shows more volume on rising days than falling days, a pattern often described as accumulation. Volume on up days has been about 1.2× volume on down days over the last 30 sessions.
About the company
Operating on a global scale via its various subsidiaries, The Mosaic Company specializes in the creation and distribution of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Its business is structured into three distinct segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company maintains and operates its own mining facilities to extract raw materials, which are then processed into a diverse array of phosphate-based products.
一句话结论
MOS 相对自身历史处于折价水平，接近其历史支撑区，近期成交量显示资金正在流入。从历史来看，这样的组合是一个值得进一步研究的有利起点。过去的形态并不能保证未来的结果。
估值 — 相对自身资产价值偏低
MOS 所在的行业具有周期性，盈利会随经济起伏，因此我们把它 0.7× 的市净率与其自身惯常的水平（0.9×）作比较。它当前的估值倍数大约位于自身过去五年分布的第 98 百分位——接近自身区间的顶部。在一套标准的逐年基本面核对清单上，它 9 项中通过了 8 项——上一财年多数底层趋势在改善。
价格区间 — 接近其历史支撑区
目前价格为 $24.78，接近其近期区间的下沿。过去一年 MOS 的价格在 $19.80 到 $36.99 之间波动；其历史支撑区在 $24.51 附近，阻力区在 $36.99 附近。它同时位于 50 日和 200 日均线上方，这在历史上通常对应上升趋势。
资金流向 — 资金正在流入
MOS 近期上涨日的成交量高于下跌日，这种形态常被称为吸筹。过去 30 个交易日，上涨日的成交量约为下跌日的 1.2×。
UnderTheLight 用直白的语言解释股票——估值、价格区间与资金流向。它只描述数据，不构成任何投资建议。
UnderTheLight explains stocks in plain English — valuation, price zones and money flow as traffic lights, recomputed nightly. It describes data; it is not investment advice and never recommends a trade.