Ford Motor Company (F)
Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers · Data as of 2026-09-01
Bottom line
F is trading at a premium to its history, in the middle of its recent price range, and recent volume suggests money flowing out. Historically, this combination has called for extra caution. Past patterns are not a guarantee of future results.
Valuation — Expensive against its own asset value (Red)
F is losing money, so we lean on its balance sheet: price-to-book of 1.5× versus its own typical 1.1×. Despite the accounting losses, it already generates positive free cash flow. Analysts currently expect it to turn profitable around 2026.
Price zones — In the middle of its recent range (Yellow)
At $13.84, the stock sits between its recent support and resistance levels. Over the past year F has traded between $11.11 and $17.78; its historical support zone sits near $13.48 and resistance near $14.09. It is above one of its moving averages and below the other — a mixed trend picture.
52-week range $11.11–$17.78 · 50-day average $14.09 · 200-day average $13.48
Money flow — Money is flowing out (Red)
Recent trading in F shows more volume on falling days than rising days, a pattern often described as distribution. Volume on up days has been about 1.0× volume on down days over the last 30 sessions.
About the company
Ford Motor Company is a global automotive giant, engaged in the design, production, and servicing of a broad spectrum of vehicles. Its product line encompasses Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, and sport utility vehicles, in addition to luxury models from its Lincoln brand. The company structures its diverse operations into distinct segments: Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, Ford Next, and Ford Credit.
一句话结论
F 相对自身历史处于溢价水平，处于近期价格区间的中部，近期成交量显示资金正在流出。从历史来看，这样的组合需要格外谨慎。过去的形态并不能保证未来的结果。
估值 — 相对自身资产价值偏高
F 目前处于亏损，因此我们更多地看资产负债表：市净率为 1.5×，而它自身惯常的水平是 1.1×。尽管账面上是亏损，它已经能产生正的自由现金流。分析师目前预计它将在 2026 年前后转为盈利。
价格区间 — 处于近期区间的中部
目前价格为 $13.84，位于其近期的支撑位与阻力位之间。过去一年 F 的价格在 $11.11 到 $17.78 之间波动；其历史支撑区在 $13.48 附近，阻力区在 $14.09 附近。它位于其中一条均线上方、另一条下方——趋势信号并不一致。
资金流向 — 资金正在流出
F 近期下跌日的成交量高于上涨日，这种形态常被称为派发。过去 30 个交易日，上涨日的成交量约为下跌日的 1.0×。
UnderTheLight 用直白的语言解释股票——估值、价格区间与资金流向。它只描述数据，不构成任何投资建议。
UnderTheLight explains stocks in plain English — valuation, price zones and money flow as traffic lights, recomputed nightly. It describes data; it is not investment advice and never recommends a trade.