Weekly recap — 2026-10-16

Market in a correction; 59% of the watch list is above its 200-day line

The market stayed in a correction. The S&P 500 fell 1.9% and the Nasdaq fell 4.5% and the Dow Jones rose 0.7% over the week. Heavy-volume down days in the tracked window: 7. Of the 27 stocks with enough history, 30% closed the week above their 50-day average and 59% above their 200-day average. Last week those figures were 59% and 63%. Financial Services: median money-flow reading +0.04 across 5 stocks, and on-balance volume rising. 1 pattern event landed on the watch list during the week. This is a description of what happened, not a suggestion about what to do.

Market

The market stayed in a correction. The S&P 500 fell 1.9% and the Nasdaq fell 4.5% and the Dow Jones rose 0.7% over the week. Heavy-volume down days in the tracked window: 7.

Economic calendar

Released this week: Consumer prices (CPI).

Consumer prices (CPI): Prices were 3.7% higher than a year earlier — up from 3.4% in August.

Pattern events

1 stock had a pattern take shape or change state.

  • BAC: a double bottom started taking shape on Oct 14.

Breadth

Of the 27 stocks with enough history, 30% closed the week above their 50-day average and 59% above their 200-day average. Last week those figures were 59% and 63%.

Sector flow

Median money-flow readings across the week for 3 sectors. 3 sectors with fewer than 3 tracked stocks aren't compared.

Valuation changes

Sector median valuations from the weekend data refresh, 11 sectors compared.

Earnings summary

2 stocks on the watch list reported this week: 0 beat and 2 missed the consensus EPS estimate. Too few reports to give a median reaction honestly; each report is listed below with its own numbers.

  • JPM reported on Oct 13: EPS came in below consensus (-3.0%).
  • BAC reported on Oct 14: EPS came in below consensus (-1.8%).

Rates context

Where near-riskless yields ended the week — the baseline that riskier returns are measured against, shown for context only.

3-month Treasury bill stood at 4.28%, up 0.06 percentage points on the week.

1-year Treasury stood at 4.49%, up 0.07 percentage points on the week.

10-year Treasury stood at 5.10%, down 0.18 percentage points on the week.

12-month CD, national average stood at 1.73%, up 0.02 percentage points versus the prior monthly reading.

Stocks in this recap

Previous: Weekly recap — 2026-10-09

每周回顾

市场处于回调之中;关注列表中 59% 位于 200 日均线上方

市场仍处于回调。本周,标普 500下跌 1.9%,纳斯达克下跌 4.5%,道琼斯上涨 0.7%。统计窗口内的放量下跌日:7 个。在 27 只历史数据足够的股票中,30% 以高于 50 日均线的价格收周,59% 高于 200 日均线。上周这两个数字分别是 59% 和 63%。金融服务:5 只股票的资金流读数中位数为 +0.04,能量潮(OBV)走高。本周关注列表上共出现 1 次形态相关的变化。以上描述的是已经发生的事,并非对该做什么的建议。

市场仍处于回调。本周,标普 500下跌 1.9%,纳斯达克下跌 4.5%,道琼斯上涨 0.7%。统计窗口内的放量下跌日:7 个。

经济日历

本周发布:消费者物价(CPI)。

消费者物价(CPI): 物价较一年前上升 3.7%,高于8月的 3.4%。

形态事件

1 只股票有形态开始形成或状态发生变化。

  • BAC:它的双底在10月14日开始形成。

市场广度

在 27 只历史数据足够的股票中,30% 以高于 50 日均线的价格收周,59% 高于 200 日均线。上周这两个数字分别是 59% 和 63%。

行业资金流

本周 3 个行业的资金流读数中位数。另有 3 个行业追踪的股票不足 3 只,未纳入比较。

估值变化

来自周末数据更新的行业估值中位数,共比较了 11 个行业。

财报小结

本周关注列表上有 2 只股票公布业绩:0 只高于、2 只低于市场一致预期的每股收益。样本太少,无法诚实地给出反应的中位数;下方逐条列出每份财报及其数据。

  • JPM 于10月13日公布业绩:每股收益低于一致预期(-3.0%)。
  • BAC 于10月14日公布业绩:每股收益低于一致预期(-1.8%)。

利率背景

接近无风险的收益率在本周的落点——它是衡量更高风险回报的参照基准,仅作背景说明。

3 个月期美国国债报 4.28%,较上周上升 0.06 个百分点。

1 年期美国国债报 4.49%,较上周上升 0.07 个百分点。

10 年期美国国债报 5.10%,较上周下降 0.18 个百分点。

12 个月定期存单,全国平均报 1.73%,较上月读数上升 0.02 个百分点。

UnderTheLight 用直白的语言解释股票——估值、价格区间与资金流向。它只描述数据,不构成任何投资建议。

UnderTheLight explains stocks in plain English — valuation, price zones and money flow as traffic lights, recomputed nightly. It describes data; it is not investment advice and never recommends a trade.